Note that your grout may appear dry. But the moisture it's carrying to the adhesive is still existent. And that's what builds up over time.I agree if we were talking about standing water on a wetroom floor. I'm thinking more of a situation involving the walls of a shower cubicle or the shower end walls above a bath.
I've not long had a shower and 30 mins later all the jasmine coloured grout is no longer dark. I appreciate in winter that would take longer to dry out. That's a far cry from my walls being submerged underwater for 6 or 7 hours. Dean's test suggests, to me anyway, that in a normal shower environment with a shower being used 2 or 3 times a day - there's very little risk of water ingress. I'm betting the same test using a primer and a modified grout would last a lot longer.
I also think if Dean had used mosaics then the time to failure would have been the same. Yes more water would get through which would mean more real world damage in a faster time but can't think why it would initially soak through to the cardboard any quicker.
I AM a fan of tanking. It is imperative in some situations and in all the others - well if you can eliminate a risk, no matter how small, then it's worth doing in my opinion.
Just can't accept that a proper install is doomed due to the absence of tanking. I know for a fact this isn't the case because I've ripped loads out and they were fine.